MOONWAVE · QQQ

QQQ Forecast Archive

Size is 1x. 2x is allowed on an existing long for a fixed window, then the position returns to 1x. No stop. The heads-up is 8:01 America/New York. The trade is executed at the 9:40 America/New York cash open. A win is a profitable trade. A loss is an unprofitable trade.

Machine-readable: qqq-trades.json · BTC archive: transparency

Recommended leverage. Off is the book, at 1x. On redraws the boxes and the chart with 2x on the sessions marked leverage eligible. That figure is not the book. The trade list stays at 1x.

Backtest hit rate

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completed trades

Backtest P/L

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from $100,000

Public hit rate

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next executed trade

Public P/L

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not started

Annualized

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since inception

Max drawdown

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peak to trough

Time in market

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long / short / flat

QQQ buy and hold

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same dates

Book QQQ Public era

As of Oct 14 20:53 UTC. QQQ book snapshot (same figures as this page, also in qqq-trades.json): 1x book hit rate 74.3% (26W / 9L of 35 completed); P/L +451.40% ($100,000 → $551,400); annualized +34.86%; max drawdown -23.16% (2022-08-16 → 2022-10-13); time in market 83% long, 11% short, 6% flat, 16% leverage-eligible; QQQ buy and hold +130.14%; public era not started. Recommended leverage on, 2x on leverage-eligible sessions only, not the book: leverage hit rate 77.1% (27W / 8L of 35 completed); P/L +1143.38% ($100,000 → $1,243,380); annualized +55.51%; max drawdown -23.16% (2022-08-16 → 2022-10-13); QQQ buy and hold +130.14%; public era not started. The switch on this page redraws the boxes. This sentence always has both.

Backtest Era

Every trade already taken, through the last one executed before the public record. An open trade that began here stays here.

Public Era

Starts with the next executed trade. None yet.

What is counted. The headline return is every session's cash open against the previous cash open, including the position that is still open, marked at the latest open. It is not a live quote. The three exposure figures add up to that headline. Each session's gain or loss is credited to the exposure that was already on. factsheet.path in the JSON is every session: date, position after that session, cash open, and book equity. The change from the previous equity was earned by the previous session's position. A row's percentChange is that one position, rounded. On an open row it is unrealized, marked at the latest cash open, and it is not a win or a loss yet. A win is a profitable closed trade. A loss is an unprofitable closed trade. An open trade is neither. The public era does not include the position that is already on. It starts when the next trade is executed. factsheet.recommendedLeverage is the same sessions with 2x on the ones marked leverage eligible. The switch above draws that. It is not the book.
qqq-trades.json machine-readable BTC forecast archive transparency

All signals and analysis are provided for educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.