{ "url": "https://moonwave.pro/moonwave-faq.json", "title": "MOONWAVE Frequently Asked Questions", "description": "Canonical structured FAQ for MOONWAVE. Listed from https://moonwave.pro/llms.txt, the homepage, and robots.txt.", "faqs": [ { "id": "faq-1", "question": "What is MOONWAVE?", "paragraphs": [ "MOONWAVE is a market trend prediction platform that delivers high-probability buy, sell, and derisk signals, presented through intuitive graphs and indicators.", "Unlike traditional lagging technical indicators, MOONWAVE identifies statistically favorable turning points by modeling liquidity dynamics and wave interference in the order book. It is designed for day traders, swing traders, and longer-term investors who want clearer decision frameworks without excessive noise.", "Canonical structured FAQ: https://moonwave.pro/moonwave-faq.json. Agent index: https://moonwave.pro/llms.txt." ] }, { "id": "faq-2", "question": "How does MOONWAVE predict market movements?", "paragraphsHtml": [ "The price of speculative assets can be described as the result of the formula", "Price = 'Risk Appetite' × 'Liquidity'", "Or, in other words, 'How much risk are investors comfortable with right now?' times 'How' cheap' (low-risk) is money right now?'", "MOONWAVE combines a proprietary wave-based prediction model with the FXwave liquidity oscillator. The wave model identifies high-probability pivot zones; FXwave provides real-time confirmation or invalidation by measuring actual liquidity conditions. This dual approach helps surface statistically favorable setups in advance, before traditional indicators react." ] }, { "id": "faq-3", "question": "The Science: How does MOONWAVE generate signals?", "paragraphsHtml": [ "MOONWAVE models the limit-order book as a layered, non-material fluid. Imbalances in resting liquidity create propagating pressure waves. These demand-liquidity waves travel inward through two distinct regimes — a fast, short-memory inner layer and a slower, long-memory outer layer — toward the mid-price.", "Entry and exit signals are generated at statistically predictable depths and times where multiple waves arrive in phase. This produces either constructive interference (amplified directional momentum or breakouts) or destructive interference (momentum cancellation, equilibrium, or reversal).", "The framework rests on the empirical observation that the fluctuation-dissipation relation holds in order-book data, making wave propagation, damping, and interference patterns repeatable rather than purely random. It draws directly from foundational econophysics work: Bachelier’s Théorie de la spéculation (Bachelier, 1900), the formalization of demand-liquidity wave dynamics in multi-agent markets (Bak et al., 1997), and the detailed treatment of the financial Brownian particle in layered order-book fluids together with fluctuation-dissipation relations (Yura et al., 2014). Real-time confirmation comes from the FXwave liquidity oscillator." ] }, { "id": "faq-4", "question": "What is the FXwave Oscillator?", "paragraphs": [ "The FXwave Oscillator provides real-time momentum analysis of major currency pairs to estimate market liquidity conditions, both as a multi-day trend and on an intraday scale. It serves as the 'Liquidity' component in the Risk Appetite × Liquidity framework and acts as a powerful confirmation or invalidation layer for the primary wave signals." ] }, { "id": "faq-6", "question": "How do I use MOONWAVE signals?", "highlight": true, "type": "signals", "intro": "The Moonwave and FXwave Trend models identify high-probability dates to buy/long or sell/short. FXwave Instant provides intraday confirmation or invalidation of the predicted pivot.", "signals": [ { "icon": "▲", "color": "green", "label": "Buy Signal", "description": "(green triangle) + FXwave positive = Traders are likely at peak irrational bearishness while liquidity is flowing into risk assets.", "action": "Consider entering long positions on pullbacks" }, { "icon": "▼", "color": "red", "label": "Sell Signal", "description": "(red triangle) + FXwave negative = Traders are likely at peak irrational bullishness while liquidity is beginning to drain from risk assets.", "action": "Consider entering short positions on rallies" }, { "icon": "◆", "color": "yellow", "label": "Volatility Signal", "description": "(yellow diamond) = High probability of volatility or FX-driven trend reversal. When FXwave opposes the primary signal on a Volatility day, it often indicates conflicting forces.", "action": "Consider reducing position size or tightening risk" } ], "outro": "The FX logic layer can also project its own recommended buy/sell zones (shown in lighter green/red) by applying current liquidity conditions to the predicted pivot points. Important disclaimer: All signals and analysis are provided for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research." }, { "id": "faq-5", "question": "What markets does MOONWAVE cover?", "type": "markets", "intro": "MOONWAVE provides signals across multiple markets:", "items": [ { "label": "Major Cryptocurrencies", "value": "Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), Dogecoin (DOGE), Ripple (XRP)" } ], "outro": "The wave-based liquidity framework applies to any sufficiently liquid risk asset. It was originally developed for cryptocurrency (where sentiment and liquidity swings are most pronounced) but performs across medium-to-high risk instruments." }, { "id": "faq-7", "question": "What does MOONWAVE cost?", "type": "pricing", "highlight_text": "free to use", "paragraphs": [ "Full access to Moonwave trend predictions, the real-time FXwave Oscillator, the Strategy oscillator, and weekly market updates is currently available at no cost — no credit card required. In the future we plan to introduce optional tiered subscriptions for advanced features and alerts." ] }, { "id": "faq-8", "question": "How have the signals performed?", "type": "performance", "paragraphsHtml": [ "Live performance is calculated on the dashboard Historical Performance table, and on the Forecast Record, from btc-backtest.json. A win is a profitable taken trade, a correct stop, or an FXwave invalidation that avoided a losing fill. Volatility-while-cash is excluded. Taken trades are also scored separately — skips that avoided a losing fill count in the headline, not in taken-only.", "The rules-engine book uses 1x notional, a 5% stop, and hold on invalidation. Buy-and-hold over the same window is shown next to it. That is not a “percent versus buy-and-hold” marketing ratio; both numbers are reported. Losing windows exist.", "The public 4-week forecast era (from 19 Oct 2025) is logged on the Forecast Record / forecast-record.json. Grok P/L figures there are prompted by @moonwavepro — not an independent audit — and can disagree with the rules-engine row." ] }, { "id": "faq-9", "question": "How can I tell if a forecast was wrong?", "paragraphsHtml": [ "Each 4-week forecast is frozen on X at post time. The claim is the chart markers: green ▲ buy, red ▼ sell, yellow ◆ derisk. Compare those dates to what price actually did, or to the two scored books on the Forecast Record: the prompted Grok eval and the rules-engine as_simulated row (versus buy-and-hold for that window). If the window lost money or lagged buy-and-hold, that forecast missed. Every historical signal is in btc-backtest.json." ] } ] }