{
  "ticker": "BTC",
  "startDate": "2024-12-24",
  "endDate": "2026-10-26",
  "description": "Transparency record/backtest for the Moonwave demonstration BTC strategy, intended to demonstrate the potential of a very simple Bitcoin trading strategy using Moonwave buy/sell/derisk signals.",
  "rules": "enter 100% on fxwave confirm, hold existing trade on fxwave inval, reduce 50% on fxwave confirmed volatility, default 5% SL on all trades. Win is a profitable trade or avoiding an unprofitable trade.",
  "range": "backtested data 12/24/2024 to 9/1/2025, live trade data thereafter.",
  "note": "08/12/2026: Some backtested dates have a 'balance' field, which was produced by legacy PNL code that incorrectly handled 'Inval' as 'go 100% cash' rather than 'hold existing position' and thus appreciably underestimated profit for that period. Those 'balance' entries are not used in any current PNL calculations and are preserved here solely for transparency. 09/27/2026: The same backtested entries have 'accurate' and 'percentChange' fields also calculated based on that wrong legacy code, and are again preserved here only for transparency and should not be used.",
  "initialCapital": 100000,
  "predictions": [
    {
      "dateSignal": "12/24/2024",
      "dateEnd": "1/3/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 94852.8,
      "btcCloseEnd": 96960.2,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "Yes FX",
      "percentChange": 2.22
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "1/3/2025",
      "dateEnd": "1/7/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 96960.2,
      "btcCloseEnd": 102247.9,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 5.45
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "1/7/2025",
      "dateEnd": "1/14/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 102247.9,
      "btcCloseEnd": 94536.7,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -7.54
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "1/14/2025",
      "dateEnd": "1/20/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 94536.7,
      "btcCloseEnd": 101313.3,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 7.17
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "1/20/2025",
      "dateEnd": "1/23/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Volatility",
      "btcCloseBegin": 101313.3,
      "btcCloseEnd": 103681.3,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 2.34
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "1/23/2025",
      "dateEnd": "1/27/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 103681.3,
      "btcCloseEnd": 102618.3,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -1.03
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "1/27/2025",
      "dateEnd": "1/31/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 102618.3,
      "btcCloseEnd": 104726.9,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 2.05
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "1/31/2025",
      "dateEnd": "2/2/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 104726.9,
      "btcCloseEnd": 100647.1,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -3.9
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "2/2/2025",
      "dateEnd": "2/7/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 100647.1,
      "btcCloseEnd": 96564.8,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "Yes FX",
      "percentChange": -4.06
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "2/7/2025",
      "dateEnd": "2/13/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 96564.8,
      "btcCloseEnd": 97874.7,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "No",
      "percentChange": 1.36
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "2/13/2025",
      "dateEnd": "2/16/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 97874.7,
      "btcCloseEnd": 97573.1,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "No",
      "percentChange": -0.31
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "2/16/2025",
      "dateEnd": "2/22/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Volatility",
      "btcCloseBegin": 97573.1,
      "btcCloseEnd": 96158.3,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -1.45
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "2/22/2025",
      "dateEnd": "2/28/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 96158.3,
      "btcCloseEnd": 84713.3,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -11.9
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "2/28/2025",
      "dateEnd": "3/7/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 84713.3,
      "btcCloseEnd": 89879.5,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 6.1
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "3/7/2025",
      "dateEnd": "3/14/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 89879.5,
      "btcCloseEnd": 81103.5,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -9.76
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "3/14/2025",
      "dateEnd": "3/30/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 81103.5,
      "btcCloseEnd": 82646.8,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 1.9
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "3/30/2025",
      "dateEnd": "4/6/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 82646.8,
      "btcCloseEnd": 83528,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 1.07
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "4/6/2025",
      "dateEnd": "4/9/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 83528,
      "btcCloseEnd": 76312.3,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -8.64
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "4/9/2025",
      "dateEnd": "4/13/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 76312.3,
      "btcCloseEnd": 85282.5,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 11.75
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "4/13/2025",
      "dateEnd": "4/20/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 85282.5,
      "btcCloseEnd": 85075.5,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -0.24
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "4/20/2025",
      "dateEnd": "4/23/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 85075.5,
      "btcCloseEnd": 93442.2,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "Yes FX",
      "percentChange": 9.83
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "4/23/2025",
      "dateEnd": "4/25/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 93442.2,
      "btcCloseEnd": 93979.4,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "Yes FX",
      "percentChange": 0.57
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "4/25/2025",
      "dateEnd": "4/28/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Volatility",
      "btcCloseBegin": 93979.4,
      "btcCloseEnd": 93742.5,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "Yes FX",
      "percentChange": -0.25
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "4/28/2025",
      "dateEnd": "5/5/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 93742.5,
      "btcCloseEnd": 94314.6,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 0.61
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "5/5/2025",
      "dateEnd": "5/9/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 94314.6,
      "btcCloseEnd": 103270.7,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "Yes FX",
      "percentChange": 9.5
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "5/9/2025",
      "dateEnd": "5/12/2025",
      "signalType": "Volatility",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 103270.7,
      "btcCloseEnd": 104119.2,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "Yes FX",
      "percentChange": 0.82
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "5/12/2025",
      "dateEnd": "5/19/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 104119.2,
      "btcCloseEnd": 106507.7,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 2.29
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "5/19/2025",
      "dateEnd": "5/22/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 106507.7,
      "btcCloseEnd": 109632.6,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "No",
      "percentChange": 2.93
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "5/22/2025",
      "dateEnd": "5/27/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 109632.6,
      "btcCloseEnd": 109455.3,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "No",
      "percentChange": -0.16
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "5/27/2025",
      "dateEnd": "5/30/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 109455.3,
      "btcCloseEnd": 105598.8,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "No",
      "percentChange": -3.52,
      "action": "-3.52%"
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "5/30/2025",
      "dateEnd": "6/3/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 105598.8,
      "btcCloseEnd": 105845.6,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 0.23,
      "action": "0.23%",
      "balance": 186265.01,
      "buyAndHold": 109163.97
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "6/3/2025",
      "dateEnd": "6/10/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 105845.6,
      "btcCloseEnd": 110268.3,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "No",
      "percentChange": 4.18,
      "action": "-4.18%",
      "balance": 178482.03,
      "buyAndHold": 113725.32
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "6/10/2025",
      "dateEnd": "6/16/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 110268.3,
      "btcCloseEnd": 105594,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "Yes FX",
      "percentChange": -4.24,
      "action": "HOLD -4.24%",
      "balance": 178482.03,
      "buyAndHold": 108904.48
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "6/16/2025",
      "dateEnd": "6/19/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 105594,
      "btcCloseEnd": 104894.2,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -0.66,
      "action": "0.66%",
      "balance": 179664.88,
      "buyAndHold": 108182.74
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "6/19/2025",
      "dateEnd": "6/23/2025",
      "signalType": "Volatility",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 104894.2,
      "btcCloseEnd": 100782.5,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "No FX",
      "percentChange": -3.92,
      "action": "HOLD +3.92%",
      "balance": 179664.88,
      "buyAndHold": 103942.13
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "6/23/2025",
      "dateEnd": "6/25/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 100782.5,
      "btcCloseEnd": 106086,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 5.26,
      "action": "5.26%",
      "balance": 189119.42,
      "buyAndHold": 109411.9
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "6/25/2025",
      "dateEnd": "7/5/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 106086,
      "btcCloseEnd": 107989.6,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "No FX",
      "percentChange": 1.79,
      "action": "HOLD +1.79%",
      "balance": 189119.42,
      "buyAndHold": 111375.18
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "7/5/2025",
      "dateEnd": "7/9/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 107989.6,
      "btcCloseEnd": 108913.1,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 0.86,
      "action": "HOLD -0.86%",
      "balance": 189119.42,
      "buyAndHold": 112327.64
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "7/9/2025",
      "dateEnd": "7/14/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 108913.1,
      "btcCloseEnd": 119092.2,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 9.35,
      "action": "9.35%",
      "balance": 206794.67,
      "buyAndHold": 122825.86
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "7/14/2025",
      "dateEnd": "7/18/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 119092.2,
      "btcCloseEnd": 119196.4,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "Yes FX",
      "percentChange": 0.09,
      "action": "HOLD +0.09%",
      "balance": 206794.67,
      "buyAndHold": 122933.33
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "7/18/2025",
      "dateEnd": "7/25/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 119196.4,
      "btcCloseEnd": 118311.5,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -0.74,
      "action": "0.74%",
      "balance": 208329.89,
      "buyAndHold": 122020.68
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "7/25/2025",
      "dateEnd": "7/31/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 118311.5,
      "btcCloseEnd": 117840.4,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -0.4,
      "action": "-0.40%",
      "balance": 207500.34,
      "buyAndHold": 121534.82
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "7/31/2025",
      "dateEnd": "8/1/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Volatility",
      "btcCloseBegin": 117840.4,
      "btcCloseEnd": 115766.7,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "No FX",
      "percentChange": -1.76,
      "action": null,
      "balance": 207500.34,
      "buyAndHold": 119396.1
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "8/1/2025",
      "dateEnd": "8/3/2025",
      "signalType": "Volatility",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 115766.7,
      "btcCloseEnd": 112547.9,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -2.78,
      "action": "2.78%",
      "balance": 213269.72,
      "buyAndHold": 116076.39
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "8/3/2025",
      "dateEnd": "8/9/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 112547.9,
      "btcCloseEnd": 116676.5,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "No",
      "percentChange": 3.67,
      "action": "-3.67%",
      "balance": 205446.34,
      "buyAndHold": 120334.43
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "8/9/2025",
      "dateEnd": "8/15/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 116676.5,
      "btcCloseEnd": 118314.1,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 1.4,
      "action": "1.40%",
      "balance": 208329.86,
      "buyAndHold": 122023.37
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "8/15/2025",
      "dateEnd": "8/17/2025",
      "signalType": "Volatility",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 118314.1,
      "btcCloseEnd": 117393.8,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -0.78,
      "action": "0.78%",
      "balance": 209950.34,
      "buyAndHold": 121074.21
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "8/17/2025",
      "dateEnd": "8/24/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 117393.8,
      "btcCloseEnd": 115431.5,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -1.67,
      "action": "1.67%",
      "balance": 213459.78,
      "buyAndHold": 119050.39
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "8/24/2025",
      "dateEnd": "8/28/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 115431.5,
      "btcCloseEnd": 111263.2,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "Yes FX",
      "percentChange": -3.61,
      "action": "HOLD -3.61%",
      "balance": 213459.78,
      "buyAndHold": 114751.41
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "8/28/2025",
      "dateEnd": "9/1/2025",
      "signalType": "Volatility",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 111263.2,
      "btcCloseEnd": 108247.3,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -2.71,
      "action": "2.71%",
      "balance": 219245.82,
      "buyAndHold": 111640.96
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "9/1/2025",
      "dateEnd": "9/7/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 108247.3,
      "btcCloseEnd": 110194.4,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "Yes FX",
      "percentChange": 1.8
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "9/7/2025",
      "dateEnd": "9/16/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 110194.4,
      "btcCloseEnd": 115362.1,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 4.69
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "9/16/2025",
      "dateEnd": "9/22/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave/FX",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 115362.1,
      "btcCloseEnd": 115243.3,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": -0.1
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "9/22/2025",
      "dateEnd": "9/25/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 115243.3,
      "btcCloseEnd": 113307.1,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "Yes FX",
      "percentChange": -1.68
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "9/25/2025",
      "dateEnd": "9/30/2025",
      "signalType": "Volatility end",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 113307.1,
      "btcCloseEnd": 114355.4,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 0.93
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "9/30/2025",
      "dateEnd": "10/1/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave/FX",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 114355.4,
      "btcCloseEnd": 114048.7,
      "fxwave": "Inval",
      "accurate": "Yes FX",
      "percentChange": -0.27
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "10/1/2025",
      "dateEnd": "10/5/2025",
      "signalType": "FX/Calendar",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 114048.7,
      "btcCloseEnd": 122387.1,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "Yes",
      "percentChange": 7.31
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "10/5/2025",
      "dateEnd": "10/7/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave/FX",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
      "btcCloseBegin": 122387.1,
      "btcCloseEnd": 124687.5,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "No",
      "percentChange": 1.88
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "10/7/2025",
      "dateEnd": "10/13/2025",
      "signalType": "Moon",
      "trade": "Bottom/buy",
      "btcCloseBegin": 124687.5,
      "btcCloseEnd": 114985.9,
      "fxwave": "Confirm",
      "accurate": "No",
      "percentChange": -7.78
    },
    {
      "dateSignal": "10/13/2025",
      "dateEnd": "10/22/2025",
      "signalType": "Wave/FX",
      "trade": "Top/sell",
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    {
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    {
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